For all this time we only know that carbon dioxide is the greenhouse gas that has been being the major cause of global warming. But do you know that actually there are several kinds of greenhouse gas in our atmosphere other than carbon dioxide, well they are namely; methane (CH4), nitrous oxide (N2O), CFC, and water vapor that produced by both human and nature.
Now, do you know that among those greenhouse gasses, the percentage of water vapor that produced by nature in our atmosphere is 95%, meanwhile the percentage of other greenhouse gasses that produced by man and nature is only 5%, it is include carbon dioxide and other gases that produced by man,
now the question is, from that 5%, how big is actually the percentage of greenhouse gasses that originally produced by man?! Well, surprisingly, different to what most people believe for all this time, actually the percentage of greenhouse gasses including carbon dioxide that originally produced by man is only, 0, 28%.
A very small percentage that almost undetectable to the contribution of global warming, it is like adding a grain of salt into the ocean, it is like nothing.
But what make we have bigger percentage of water vapor in our atmosphere today than the percentage of water vapor in the past?
well,based on the website of NASA we found that it is actually the increasing of sunspot activity that heating up the ocean and increasing the percentage of water vapor in our atmosphere.
The other evidence that proof that actually today global warming is caused by nature-in this case is the increasing of sunspot activity-is, even now on several planets like Mars, Jupiter, Saturn, even Pluto, global warming is also happening, it can be seen from the decreasing of ice cap volume on both pole of Mars, the only similarity on the cause of global warming on those planets and earth is only one, it is the sun. All of planets in our solar system are now experiencing global warming, and it is because of the increasing of sunspot activity, not because of human, you can’t say that the cause of the decreasing of ice cap volume on Mars is human, you can’t say that the cause of the increasing temperature on Pluto is also because of human emission, that would be so ridiculous.
The effect of this makes us like sitting in the sauna, where the amount of water vapor in our atmosphere is simultaneously added by the extreme evaporation of ocean water that being heated up by the increasing of sunspot activity. So, it would be very ridiculous if we blame the cause of global warming on human emission which its percentage is very small, only 0, 28% and almost undetectable compared to the water vapor percentage that is very big , 95%.
So once again, global warming is caused by nature, caused by the increasing of sunspot activity that heating up the entire ocean and causing an extreme evaporation and accumulating our atmosphere with water vapor greenhouse gas.
So now do you still think that the implementation of Kyoto protocol which just want to reduce human emission that only 0, 28% is able to make our world colder in the future, the contra side has to proof that by implementing Kyoto protocol that not even try to reduce the 95 % of water vapor could make world temperature colder in the future.
The last thing is the contra side has to proof that Kyoto protocol would able to reduce the main effect of global warming, which is the sun. they have to proof that Kyoto protocol would able to reduce the increasing of sunspot activity that also heating up not just earth but also the entire planets in our solar system today, because the main cause of global warming is the sun. It is what the Kyoto protocol want, isn’t it, to reduce the main cause of global warming?!
sent on: 2008 Mei 25 05:59 Putri Ayu Islamiati saidContra: Rebuttal for teguh:Water vapors do not have a "forcing" effect on climate change like human greenhouse gases:
While water is the most prominent greenhouse gas, it does not have a "forcing" effect on climate change. Because water vapor is actually natural substance in our atmosphere, so it is ridiculous to blame on global warming on water vapor, if we try to reduce water vapor, the cycle of weather on earth will not exist. Because water vapor is the main substance that create weather cycle on our earth, that’s is why we can’t reduce it because we need it, different to carbon dioxide or other human emission.
Solar effects:Does the sun have no role in global warming or is it small compared to human-causes? Yes, the role of sun is actually very small compared to human cause.
• Sun-spot variation has a "negligible impact" on global climate change:
• "Don't Blame Sun for Global Warming, Study Says". National Geographic. September 13, 2006 - "But sunspot-driven changes to the sun's power are simply too small to account for the climatic changes observed in historical data from the 17th century to the present, research suggests. The difference in brightness between the high point of a sunspot cycle and its low point is less than 0.1 percent of the sun's total output. "If you run that back in time to the 17th century using sunspot records, you'll find that this amplitude variance is negligible for climate"'...according to Solar astronomer Peter Foukal of Heliophysics, Inc.
• In 2006, Peter Foukal and other researchers from the United States, Germany, and Switzerland found no net increase of solar brightness over the last thousand years. Solar cycles lead to a small increase of 0.07% in brightness over the last 30 years. This effect is far too small to contribute significantly to global warming.
• A paper by Mike Lockwood and Claus Fröhlich found no relation between global warming and solar radiation since 1985.
• National Center for Atmospheric Research (2006-09-14). Changes in Solar Brightness Too Weak to Explain Global Warming.
• Warming on mars may not be due to the sun
• Any warming on mars does not prove that the sun is driving Earth's climate change
Natural warming cycle:Even if we were in a natural warming cycle, the rate of warming currently is many times faster than any rate of warming in the historical record. Even if humans are not actually the "chief" cause of global warming, there is little dispute that we play some role, due to our emissions of greenhouse gases, which contribute to the warming of the globe. As such, the Kyoto Protocol is an important tool in the fight against human-caused greenhouse gas emissions and global warming.
Are human-greenhouse gas emissions capable of causing global warming? Yes• Human greenhouse gas emissions have a clear "greenhouse" warming effect: Greenhouse gases are named as such because they have a "greenhouse effect" in the atmosphere, allowing sunlight to enter the earth's atmosphere but trapping a percentage of the radiation that would otherwise be reflected back into space. The trapped radiation emits added heat into the Earth's atmosphere with the result being "global warming". The "greenhouse effect" is not disputed.
• Humans have increased significantly the number of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere, adding substantially to the "greenhouse effect" Levels of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere have increased substantially through the industrial revolution. Sources cite that humans have contributed roughly 10 to 30 percent of the greenhouse gases that are currently in the atmosphere since large-scale industrialization began around 150 years ago. This substantial increase due to humans is certainly capable of producing the global warming effects we are seeing today. One of the reasons that the Earth's atmosphere is so vulnerable to such a substantial increase in atmospheric greenhouse gases is that it is so thin.
Is there a clear warming trend that shows human cause?The correlation in the acceleration of greenhouse gas emissions and the acceleration of global warming outlines the causal relationship between humans and climate change. This is not to say that humans are necessarily wholly responsible for global warming, and this position acknowledges (typically) some natural causes of global warming. But, it is argued that humans have added dramatically to the acceleration of global warming far beyond what would have occurred naturally.
Do on-the-ground effects demonstrate today's warming is mainly human-caused?• Ocean layers have warmed in a manner that indicates human-causes of global warming
• atmosphere that getting thinner show human cause on global warming
• Glacier melting globally demonstrates human-causes of global warming
• The melting of the arctic ice caps has increased dramatically with human emissions
• Greenland ice-caps are melting at an accelerating rate
• Natural catastrophic events, such as hurricanes, have increased substantially with human greenhouse gases
• Increase in atmospheric moisture is tied to human emissions
• The atmosphere has responded as expected to human-induced global warming – Satellite temperature measurements show that tropospheric temperatures are increasing with "rates similar to those of the surface temperature," leading the IPCC to conclude that this discrepancy is reconciled.
• Spatial patterns of heat-trappings are concentrated around populated areas, indicating human causes
Kyoto protocol mechanism:In short, Kyoto protocol is implementing the system of carbon tax, which means every nation, people, or factories that emit green house gases should pay tax which called carbon tax.
Carbon tax is implemented for air plane travel, vehicle, factories, etc. The limitation of the tax is discussed and decided through meeting with all of nations that have signed the Kyoto protocol.
The fund from the tax will be used and organized by United nations and all bodies under UN that related to Kyoto protocol project to develop environmental friendly technologies to reduce human emission gradually. Technology like; sun panel, bio fuel, wind power plant, hydro power plant, geo-thermal power plant.
By implementing this system, it is expected that within 50 years ahead, the emission of human greenhouse gases would have been reduced significantly.
sent on: 2008 Mei 26 23:46